Monday, July 5, 2010

Orange Sunglasses blocking any chance of a vision...

I was initially suprised to see a post from Rodney McCune (Conservative and Unionist Candidate for East Antrim in May's General Election) last night, his first for near enough 6 weeks:
Ulster Unionists must offer unionists a viable long-term vision of inclusive and stable Unionism, which appeals beyond the historic roots of Unionism. I accept that opportunism from the right will always present a problem/challenge to this approach but such an approach broadens the global appeal of Unionism and at the same time creates a potential sustainable Unionism long-term.
Well, yes, and interesting that "opportunism from the right" isn't specified as in "opportunism from the DUP". More interesting is the timing, this from Liam Clarke, yesterday:
The Ulster Unionists and Democratic Unionists have held secret negotiations about fielding a joint ticket of candidates in next year's elections to Stormont.

Party strategists say they want to maximise unionist representation in the assembly to prevent Sinn Féin becoming the biggest party and Martin McGuinness being elected first minister. There are fears in UUP ranks, however, that a deal with Peter Robinson's party could lead to the party's absorption by the DUP.

The plan is that in a constituency where five unionists could be returned, the DUP would pick three candidates and the UUP two. A joint committee of the two parties would approve each candidate.

This is similar to the arrangement the UUP had with the Conservatives under their illfated Ulster Conservative and Unionist New Force pact in the recent Westminster elections.
One or two of the parties' senior figures have declared themselves "unaware" of the discussions, "A UUP spokesman said that there had been "no agreement with anyone" on the issue". Not the strongest of denials that talks are at least taking place; I'm sure they are.

When (rather than if) such an arrangement comes into place, two suppositions are being made as to its success in the achievement of its stated objective (whether chasing that objective is moral, democratic and likely to forward NI politics in the long-run is a not very difficult question to answer, but one for another day):

1. That enough UUP members and voters fall behind the plan to make it work.
2. That enough SDLP voters (and maybe even members and politicians) will not decide, in what will undoubtedly be sold by Sinn Fein, as a sectarian headcount, to switch over to their main rivals.

Neither of the suppositions will be guaranteed merely, by the DUP and the UUP Elite telling us they will be so.

More abstractly:
They have no vision for a Unionist future. It is terribly sad that the spectre of "Martin McGuinness" as FM is going to be used against Unionists as a threat or scare tactic at the next Assembly election, when he is already a joint First Minister albeit Deputy, put there by the DUP.
Quite and that "they" is not confined, by any stretch of the imagination, to the DUP strategists.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Some very shrewd points made.

Anonymous said...

If we leave the middle ground open there are a few parties who will take a big slice of our vote.

1. Alliance ( revitalised and growing already)
2. Conservatives (regrouping and expanding)
3. SDLP (some of their members may have historically voted tactically for the UUP)

The slow demise of our party will continue if we follow this unity route.

Yet we fail to accept the obvious problems - Our Chairman, the Orange Order connection, and our financial problems.

Lee said...

It would appear to me that it is UU people and even liberal commentators like Professor Brian Walker and Robin Wilson that have been bigging up MM as FM much more than the DUP. None of them, especially walker and wilson, have any insight to DUP thinking.

The evidence of the Westminster election is that SF remaining the second largest party not first remains the likeliest outcome.

O'Neill said...

Anonymous:

The slow demise of our party will continue if we follow this unity route.

There's a wafer-thin difference between the attitudes and thinking of many in the UUP leadership and the DUP, one of the main reasons, imo, the UCUNF project was doomed from the start. That being the case, it is now the likes of McNarry and Kennedy's responsibility to inform us the point in the UUP remaining a separate party (other than the fact it, given the DUP's recovery, may keep them and their assistants in a job come next year).

O'Neill said...

Lee,

"It would appear to me that it is UU people and even liberal commentators like Professor Brian Walker and Robin Wilson that have been bigging up MM as FM much more than the DUP."

The DUP don't need to at this point as the right-wing in the UUP is doing their job for them but, stil, it will surely form a main plank of the DUP camapign next year?

As for Walker, nothing more than a sanctimonious hypocrite, the type who whinge about the sectarian oiks over a GnT but yet will be still the ones squeeling the loudest when a UI knackers their investment portfolio and pension plans.


The evidence of the Westminster election is that SF remaining the second largest party not first remains the likeliest outcome.