London, 11th March 2010 – The Tories are on course to secure a 23-seat majority in the forthcoming General Election, according to spread betting experts Sporting Index.The reason it is accurate is that the potential you can lose is much greater and not fixed at the time of bet; also, it tends to be more the bigger players who get involved with it and they're not going to put a grand on in the same willy-nilly fashion as I'd put a fiver on my 10 homes on a Friday night after a couple of shandies.
Sporting Index’s quote is in direct contrast to much of the recent poll data which has suggested an increasing likelihood of a hung parliament.
Sporting Index political trader Zak Taylor said: "Historically the spread betting market has been a more accurate guide to the final Election outcome than the polls, and we think the polls are out of step again.
We currently quote the Tories on 331-336 seats, down from a high of 365-370 back in October. We’ve got Labour at 232-237 seats, up around 20 seats from a month ago. Lib Dem seats currently trade at 55-58, largely unchanged in recent weeks.My math's is dodgy but I think they need to be doing better than that surely for a 20 plus majority? Still think it's not looking that good to be perfectly honest.
Anyroads here's their website, see for yourselves (but be careful!).
4 comments:
Slightly off topic so apologies for this, but are there no Socialist or Communist or left leaning Unionist politicians.
Almost all democracies in the world contain left, right and centre political groups.
Not Unionists though.
They usually range from anti-Catholic bigots to the little Englander types like Oneil. I don't know what spaceship brought down the ppc for east Belfast though kloot, usually fenian bashing left little time for xenophobia.
How times change.
Ps Oneil, I watched Ian Og on hearts and minds going on about Unionist unity in S. Belfast and Fermanagh, the UUP man fair scunnered him though.
"but are there no Socialist or Communist or left leaning Unionist politicians."
Sorry for the delay in replying, I printed your comment and ran Kloot, very busy today. So in the UUP, elected socialist-leaning- McGimpsey, Stoker and Cobain and that's probably it. The DUP do have several but by and large their elected representatives tend to be from petit bourgeouise backgrounds as Karl would have put it. The PUP would be normally regarded as left-wing, the fact that they're also the political wing of a terrorist organisation has, I'm sure, stopped the vast majority of leftist Unionists from voting for them.
So, definitely room for a socialist (or even social democrat) alternative, maybe Lady H will be the catalyst (and I'm not being sarcastic)
Tony,
Oneil, I watched Ian Og on hearts and minds going on about Unionist unity in S. Belfast and Fermanagh, the UUP man fair scunnered him though.
See?!
Interesting times ahead...
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