Wales, Still Uncertainty Ten years On.

The 18th of September is the 10th anniversary of the referendum on the Welsh Assembly; on a turn-out of 50.1 %, 50.3 % voted "yes", 49.7% "no", a difference of less than 7,000 voters.

Ten years on, a opinion poll carried out by the Institute of Welsh Politics at the University of Wales, Aberystwyth, on behalf of the S4 documentary, Datganoli, has some interesting figures on how public attitudes have changed towards the constitutional future of the Principality:

The institute has carried out these regular surveys of public attitudes towards devolution, always asking voters to state their preferred constitutional solution – independence, a Parliament, an Assembly or no devolution at all.

Support for independence remains pitiful, 12%, 2% less than it was 10 years ago.

The present Assembly has the support of 28% today.

The "anti-devolutionists" are running at 17%.

43% want a similar legislative "parliament" to the one presently existing in Scotland.

So on the face of it, not great news for Unionists.

But the CSR (Comprehensive Spending Review), which will determine the Assembly’s budget for the next three years, could provide some uncomfortable news within the next three weeks. If Wales’ handout from the Central Exchequer is to be limited as expected, then where does this leave the grandiose plans of the "One Wales" coalition....floating up the River Taff, I suspect

When that happens, what will be the public’s reaction to the "Government", the "Assembly" and any future constitutional changes? Interesting times ahead.